Groundhog Day

Everyone has a theory on the continuing mystifying propensity for the All Blacks, formerly the world’s greatest team, to not only repeatedly shoot themselves in both feet, but then to remove their socks and blow their toes off one by one.

The test in Christchurch was there for the taking in the first half. But poor discipline, together with an incapacity to adjust to the referee’s idiosyncratic style, brought them undone. This was compounded by the head-scratching decision by the coaching box just minutes into the second half to replace the entire front row, including the ABs’ most in-form player. From there, it was just a comedy of schoolboy errors, including the aimless pie-chucking of Codie Taylor into potentially match-winning line outs.

All the Argentinians had to do was to give their opponents the ball and watch them implode. Correct me if I’m wrong, but haven’t we seen this movie before? Ian Foster and Sam Cane are like Bill Murray in Groundhog Day, reliving the same nightmare over and over. In this case, however, the adenoidal tones of Sonny Bono on the alarm clock radio were supplied by Michael Cheika.

Murray’s character in that movie was a cynical and self-obsessed TV weatherman feeling trapped in a job and a routine that he doesn’t particularly like. So he is forced to live the same day over and over until he finds his purpose. Ultimately, after much trial and error, he realises he has choices and he has agency. He can’t keep blaming his predicament on everybody else.

In the case of the All Blacks, there are any number of external forces they can point to for their Groundhog funk. There is the coaching soap opera, of course, but also the selection controversies (wings at centres, open-sides at number eight, fullbacks at wings etc;). There is the ageing of faithful old warriors and the apparent lack of equally competent young replacements. There is the argument that Super Rugby, particularly without South Africa, is failing to prepare them for tests. There is the raiding of NZ coaching and playing IP by cashed-up NH clubs and an associated thinning of development programs at home. There is mounting concern among parents about stories of premature senility in repeatedly concussed players. Add to that stale game plans, refereeing controversies and inconsistencies and the vagaries of the rule book.

The point is there is always something externally you can blame for the state this team is in, but none on its own explains it. If you held a gun to my head and told me to boil it down to one thing, it would be a failure of leadership across the board. No-one is taking responsibility - from the NZR to the coaching set-up to the players themselves. The feeling is one of drift. Like the Mary Celeste, the All Black machine is a pilot-less ship lost at sea. And the failure of leadership is creating a crisis of confidence, of second-guessing that led to the debacle on Saturday night.

In short, no-one is in charge. And it shows.

MN5
MN5
August 28, 9:53pm

@mikedogz said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

Screenshot 2022-08-29 094724.jpg

Chuck Berry is the best of that bunch. Should have players way more than he did.

I could have sworn Berryman started a test ? Obviously not.

MiketheSnow
MiketheSnow
August 28, 9:56pm

@Crucial said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@taniwharugby said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

had to laugh when one of the Argie players had slid down in a tackle, was lying on the ground holding our players foot as he tried to wade on while upright, and the ref told the player on the ground he had to release him.

That was a clear penalty. The ref saw it. He commented on it. It continued and had an effect on play. Baffling.

Why?

He hadn’t completed the tackle

Crucial
Crucial
August 28, 10:03pm

@MiketheSnow said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crucial said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@taniwharugby said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

had to laugh when one of the Argie players had slid down in a tackle, was lying on the ground holding our players foot as he tried to wade on while upright, and the ref told the player on the ground he had to release him.

That was a clear penalty. The ref saw it. He commented on it. It continued and had an effect on play. Baffling.

Why?

He hadn’t completed the tackle

I get what you are angling at but 'the game is played only by players who are on their feet'.

A player on the ground in the field of play, without the ball is out of the game and must:
Allow opponents who are not on the ground to play or gain possession of the ball.
Not play the ball.
Not tackle or attempt to tackle an opponent.

MiketheSnow
MiketheSnow
August 28, 10:05pm

@Crucial said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@MiketheSnow said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crucial said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@taniwharugby said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

had to laugh when one of the Argie players had slid down in a tackle, was lying on the ground holding our players foot as he tried to wade on while upright, and the ref told the player on the ground he had to release him.

That was a clear penalty. The ref saw it. He commented on it. It continued and had an effect on play. Baffling.

Why?

He hadn’t completed the tackle

I get what you are angling at but 'the game is played only by players who are on their feet'.

A player on the ground in the field of play, without the ball is out of the game and must:
Allow opponents who are not on the ground to play or gain possession of the ball.
Not play the ball.
Not tackle or attempt to tackle an opponent.

He was in the act of tackling

Perfectly legal to hold on to bring the man down

If not, then rugby has a lot more to worry about than head hits

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
August 28, 10:30pm

@MN5 nah only came on late...then hitch-hiked back to whangarei after the ABs got back to nz.

Was a unique character and talent that fella...RIP

Kirwan
Kirwan
August 28, 10:33pm

@Crucial said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@pakman said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

Now 60 - 70. First Whitelock knock across at lineout called forward. Then ref misses clear knock on, then penalised Cane for off ball tackle on Mantera. So that three points should never have happened.
Then ABs hot on attack, with Akira doing lots of carrying. Rieko cuts back into traffic. Puma 12 off feet then back on and jackals. Is that legal? If not shot almost in front. As is ref says fine and then penalises us for sealing off. ?

The Cane penalty annoyed me. I guess with an inexperienced ref like that you were in his hands and needed to be careful but good refs realise when a dummy player is a legit option and committed tackles will happen. You want to pretend you are getting the ball then you can also cop a tackle IMO.
Tackle off the ball is for taking players out early or late and either removing an option or being dirty.

What? You can't tackle a player without the ball, even if you fell for the dummy run. It's not like he was in front of the ball carrier either, was a dumb, needless penalty from a player frustrated and out of form.

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
August 28, 10:38pm

@Crucial only if he attempts the tackle from the ground, the guy was legally allowed to tackle him, just because he doesnt bring him down as he goes to deck, doesnt mean he has to then let go.

R

reprobate
August 28, 11:18pm

The ref was a bit shit, sure. But seriously, what the fuck has that got to do with anything?
Since when do we lose to Argentina at home because a couple of decisions don't go our way?

Crucial
Crucial
August 28, 11:31pm

@reprobate said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

The ref was a bit shit, sure. But seriously, what the fuck has that got to do with anything?
Since when do we lose to Argentina at home because a couple of decisions don't go our way?

FFS. This again. 20 years plus on this forum and every single fucking time someone talks about reffing decisions in a loss someone says "that's not why we lost"
I think we all understand that and I don't see anyone here claiming otherwise. It is just a topic of conversation. Same as it is after a win.

Jailbreak7
Jailbreak7
August 28, 11:54pm

@His-Bobness Well said. Agree with everything above. The days of NH cashed-up clubs though will soon be a thing of the past I think. The north has it's own problems, notwithstanding the looming energy crisis, and with it the sustainability of the SA clubs in European comps travelling back and forth between Europe & SA. Murmurings already afoot that SA clubs are not happy with the set up..
Back to the ABs. If we are a "ghost ship" adrift in dark and menacing seas, how do we fix the problem of absentee leadership, assuming Foster stays on through to the WC?

His Bobness
His Bobness
August 28, 11:59pm

@Jailbreak7 If Foster stays, I think they will need a new captain. Cane is a great warrior, but his confidence is shot and that’s infecting the rest of the squad.

Joans Town Jones
Joans Town Jones
August 29, 12:09am

We drop down to 7th am I right???!!!

Kiwiwomble
Kiwiwomble
August 29, 12:16am

well fuck....definitely dont watch the game on your phone in bed in the early hour of sunday after getting home from watching your club team lose the final and hearing Otago also lost...that was a shit 24 hours

nothing to add that hasn't been said....they just need to do something! new coach...would make a change...actually playing young talent they picked for the squad like sotutu or perofeta might change something....playing people in the strongest position would change something...just do fucking something other than the same guys playing the same way and loosing

Kiwiwomble
Kiwiwomble
August 29, 2:02am

@broughie said in Worst AB Captain:

@Kiwiwomble sure. Is Cane that person?

im not the best game analyst but i dont remember cane popping up with the ball as much as other 7's, im probably wrong but i feel he's doing the tackling that other countries would have their tights forwards doing and so he's not on the tacklers shoulder looking for the ball

N

nostrildamus
August 29, 2:32am

@Kiwiwomble said in Worst AB Captain:

@broughie said in Worst AB Captain:

@Kiwiwomble sure. Is Cane that person?

im not the best game analyst but i dont remember cane popping up with the ball as much as other 7's, im probably wrong but i feel he's doing the tackling that other countries would have their tights forwards doing and so he's not on the tacklers shoulder looking for the ball

If we had more mobile, aggressive props would that take some of the pressure off Cane? It sounds like the Argies really had our number, forced us to do all the work and then pick us off at error time. I wonder which team of a few years ago that reminds me of?

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
August 29, 3:08am

@nostrildamus I think the lack of work by our props and to a lesser extent, our hooker when ST isnt playing, has been an issue for some time, putting additional load on our locks and forcing our loosies to play differently.

So I guess Saturday would highlight that given we looked better in the first 40 with some busy props and hooker, then we sub them off 4 minutes deep into the 2nd half, and our shape changes, so you could probably argue that it is playing its part.

dogmeat
dogmeat
August 29, 3:30am

@taniwharugby replacing the entire front row after they have only been back out on the paddock 4 mins was peak Fozzie

Machpants
Machpants
August 29, 3:38am

@Joans-Town-Jones said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

We drop down to 7th am I right???!!!

Lose again to Arg we go to 6th, Lose to Oz we then go to 7th

Bovidae
Bovidae
August 29, 3:39am

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

Crazy Horse
Crazy Horse
August 29, 3:41am

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Kiwiwomble
Kiwiwomble
August 29, 3:43am

@Crazy-Horse sticking to a decision made pre game and ignoring the fact we barely had our noses in front isn't exactly flattering ot fozzie though

Crazy Horse
Crazy Horse
August 29, 3:44am

@Kiwiwomble said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

well fuck....definitely dont watch the game on your phone in bed in the early hour of sunday after getting home from watching your club team lose the final and hearing Otago also lost...that was a shit 24 hours

nothing to add that hasn't been said....they just need to do something! new coach...would make a change...actually playing young talent they picked for the squad like sotutu or perofeta might change something....playing people in the strongest position would change something...just do fucking something other than the same guys playing the same way and loosing

Good point about needing a new coach. What does everyone else think?

Duluth
Duluth
August 29, 3:48am

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Ryan said there was minor injuries to both props. Then the decision was made to change to the front row that trained together

Crazy Horse
Crazy Horse
August 29, 3:49am

I am at the airport and I walked past an AB store. I found my heart sinking a little as I looked inside. This surprised me. I guess I am bothered by these results more than I suspected.

broughie
broughie
August 29, 3:53am

@Duluth if Ryan said that that was dumb. They all train together right? What happens if one prop is injured after 10? Sub the whole front row? Maybe he was trying to deflect some blame away from Foster. ST should have stayed on and hopefully next game that same decision will not be made.

kiwiinmelb
kiwiinmelb
August 29, 3:59am

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

I am at the airport and I walked past an AB store. I found my heart sinking a little as I looked inside. This surprised me. I guess I am bothered by these results more than I suspected.

know what you mean , its a very different feeling. I had some family over for a barbeque yesterday arvo , and I was grabbing something to wear after a shower , I picked up an Allblacks polo and for a split second I hesitated and thought , do I still wear this ?

Joans Town Jones
Joans Town Jones
August 29, 4:05am

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

I am at the airport and I walked past an AB store. I found my heart sinking a little as I looked inside. This surprised me. I guess I am bothered by these results more than I suspected.

I'm absolutely fucking gutted. Very real risk of becoming the West Indies of rugby.

ACT Crusader
ACT Crusader
August 29, 4:22am

@kiwiinmelb said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

I am at the airport and I walked past an AB store. I found my heart sinking a little as I looked inside. This surprised me. I guess I am bothered by these results more than I suspected.

know what you mean , its a very different feeling. I had some family over for a barbeque yesterday arvo , and I was grabbing something to wear after a shower , I picked up an Allblacks polo and for a split second I hesitated and thought , do I still wear this ?

Only if it is one that has the three C’s on it and you have the collars up

N

Nevorian
August 29, 7:29am

@Duluth said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Ryan said there was minor injuries to both props. Then the decision was made to change to the front row

ST was still playing well, hindsight is a great thing but would have been worth while for 5 minutes to see if he could play with the other props

R

reprobate
August 29, 7:35am

@Nevorian said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Duluth said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Ryan said there was minor injuries to both props. Then the decision was made to change to the front row

ST was still playing well, hindsight is a great thing but would have been worth while for 5 minutes to see if he could play with the other props

Nobody needs hindsight to see that ST should be playing more minutes, not less. It was obvious way before these dipshits dropped him for a deciding Irish test.

TheMojoman
TheMojoman
August 29, 8:13am

@broughie said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Duluth if Ryan said that that was dumb. They all train together right? What happens if one prop is injured after 10? Sub the whole front row? Maybe he was trying to deflect some blame away from Foster. ST should have stayed on and hopefully next game that same decision will not be made.

Straight up copy of the Boks Bomb squad. Here’s a tip..they’re not the Bomb squad.

A

akan004
August 29, 12:44pm

@dogmeat said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@taniwharugby replacing the entire front row after they have only been back out on the paddock 4 mins was peak Fozzie

I noticed that he blamed that on Ryan and Schmidt in the PC. You are the head coach ffs, own that mistake and don't publicly out your assistants. He's definitely feeling the heat.

Bones
Bones
August 29, 4:22pm

This been posted?

FB_IMG_1661789895815.jpg

P

pakman
August 29, 4:35pm

@Duluth said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Ryan said there was minor injuries to both props. Then the decision was made to change to the front row that trained together

And an all Crusaders front five at that stage, which does seem to make some sense.

P

pakman
August 29, 4:39pm

@Nevorian said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Duluth said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Bovidae said in Worst AB Captain:

@dogmeat That's fairly common. The rationale is that they give the players a few minutes to warm up as they're not using the HT break to do so. I'm certainly not saying I agree with this tactic, but it's not restricted to just Foster. They would have made that decision at HT, and it was the wrong decision.

The decision was probably made pre game.

Ryan said there was minor injuries to both props. Then the decision was made to change to the front row

ST was still playing well, hindsight is a great thing but would have been worth while for 5 minutes to see if he could play with the other props

Based on 100% throwing record, it was last 15 where we really missed Sami. Mind you last throw from Codie was straight. It did seem that he stood almost in front of AB line so our side of middle, but nonetheless straight.

No Quarter
No Quarter
August 29, 9:54pm

@kiwiinmelb said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

@Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks v Pumas 1:

I am at the airport and I walked past an AB store. I found my heart sinking a little as I looked inside. This surprised me. I guess I am bothered by these results more than I suspected.

know what you mean , its a very different feeling. I had some family over for a barbeque yesterday arvo , and I was grabbing something to wear after a shower , I picked up an Allblacks polo and for a split second I hesitated and thought , do I still wear this ?

A lot of the pride in the AB jersey comes from our amazing records we held over other countries. Never losing to Ireland, rarely losing at home, never dropping games to teams ranked 9th in the world.

I think we could all understand losing to Ireland in their back yard given they are actually a very good team now, but the lost series at home, the losses to Argentina even at home, losing 3 on the trot in our own back yard for the first time ever, that stuff really damages the pride people had in the ABs, not to mention the damage it has done to the brand. I don't feel the same way about them anymore and I don't think I ever will again, as those records are gone now. I more look at them as just another team now, similar to the Black Caps - a very good team that can beat anyone on their day, but not the greatest professional sports team in the world.

For me, that's Foster's legacy. Losing records we held for over 100 years. Even if we do climb back to #1 post Foster, it won't be the same.

NTA
NTA
August 29, 10:18pm

Gotta agree with Kirwan here starting around 4:30

Wilson is talking out his arse - who cares if Argentina is threatening your goal line? They're staying in touch and waiting for your mistakes.

Historically that hasn't always worked.

Kiwiwomble
Kiwiwomble
August 29, 10:40pm

i'd love to know how much throwing practice some of these hookers do, its a core skill, little excuse to not be able to do it

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
August 29, 10:56pm

@Kiwiwomble you'd think they, like kickers spend time kicking, hookers just throw to a target, I am sure they must also have some specific kit and drills for it too

When TR Jnr was playing hooker in U14s, we'd have a target atop a broom handle and we'd spend time at home with him throwing to it at various points in the lineout, practicing flat throws to the front, middle, back, lobs, overthrows etc...