Blues 2021 Squad Prediction

With most of the squad known or rumoured now, it's time to take a stab at a prediction, with an allowance for some players possibly being signed early on due to COVID uncertainty (e.g. Choat missing out):

Props Tu'inukuafe Hodgman N Mayhew O Tu'ungafasi Laulala Renata

Hookers Parsons Eklund Niuia (may be replaced by Tolai until recovered from injury)

Locks Tuipulotu Pierce Goodhue Cowley-Tuioti Darry

Loose forwards Gibson Hunt Papalii Robinson Sotutu A Ioane Riedlinger-Kapa

Halfbacks Nock Christie Ruru

1st Five Eighths Black Perofeta Plummer Heighton

Midfield Faiane T Tele'a R Ioane TBC

Outside Backs Clarke (may be absent for Olympics Sevens) M Telea Narawa AJ Lam Raumaitavuki-Kneepkens Sullivan

Tei Walden may be available for a midfield pick, provided he has recovered from his achilles tendon (?) injury. AJ Lam can cover centre, and possibly Clarke too. Meihana Grindlay might be a midfield bolter? NZ Schools 2019, NZ U20 training squad 2020. Would like to see Choat in the loose forwards if possible.

That's 38 players in total, looks like we had more last year due to cover for Clarke and Barrett, which included Marchant. Also had 8 loose forwards rather than 7, so maybe room for Choat yet.


Out: Lindenmuth Mafileo Carroll Lamborn Tucker Barrett Marchent Hyland Duffie Page

In: N Mayhew Laulala Darry Hunt TBC (midfield) AJ Lam Raumaitavuki-Kneepkens Sullivan


Provincial breakdown: Auckland - 8 forwards, 8 backs, 16 total North Harbour - 6 forwards, 1 back, 7 total Northland - 2 forwards, 1 back, 3 total Counties - 2 BOP - 3 Tasman - 3 Canterbury - 1 Taranaki - 2


Match XXIII

Big decision over fullback, maybe right wing, but that's about it. Expect plenty of rotation in the forwards

1 Hodgman 2 Eklund 3 Laulala 4 Tuipulotu 5 Pierce 6 A Ioane 7 Papalii 8 Sotutu

9 Nock (MacDonald may favour Christie though) 10 Black 11 Clarke 12 Faiane 13 R Ioane 14 M Telea 15 Sullivan (tight contest with Perofeta)

16 Parsons 17 Tu'inukuafe 18 Tu'ungafasi 19 Cowley-Tuioti/Goodhue 20 Robinson/Gibson/Hunt 21 Christie 22 Plummer 23 T Tele'a

With A Ioane showing he can attack a lineout at test level, there should be a lot of good options on either side of the lineout throw. Tuipulotu is good at attacking opposition throws at test level too, with Sotutu demonstrating that ability in SRA this year. Pierce was a standout forward in the NPC, and attacked the opposition lineout well too.

Looking at that Blues squad, our forwards will be hard to beat. Should be able to dominate set piece and the ruck against many teams. The question is how well will the backs be able to use that ball? Black should be able to put the ball into the corners, and force full lineouts, but will we take the most of our chances, reduce errors, and make the right decisions in big games?

Interestingly/sadly, there's only three players in that 23 from the Auckland team that played in the NPC final, and only one in the starting 15.

Nepia
Nepia
November 30, 1:34am

@Stargazer Rangi is clearly on a box or step.

Bovidae
Bovidae
November 30, 1:36am

A sign of the times when a prop is taller than backs and a loose forward.

Hooroo
Hooroo
November 30, 1:38am

@Nepia said in Blues 2021:

@Stargazer Rangi is clearly on a box or step.

If he is, he has the shortest and most comical shins I have ever seen.

Tim
Tim
November 30, 1:43am

Time to take a stab at the squad, based on some players possibly being signed early on (e.g. Choat missing out):

Props

Tu'inukuafe
Hodgman
N Mayhew
O Tu'ungafasi
Laulala
Renata

Hookers

Parsons
Eklund
Niuia (may be replaced by Tolai until recovered from injury)

Locks

Tuipulotu
Pierce
Goodhue
Cowley-Tuioti
Darry

Loose forwards

Gibson
Hunt
Papalii
Robinson
Sotutu
A Ioane
Riedlinger-Kapa

Halfbacks

Nock
Christie
Ruru

1st Five Eighths

Black
Perofeta
Plummer
Heighton

Midfield

Faiane
T Tele'a
R Ioane
TBC

Outside Backs

Clarke (may be absent for Olympics Sevens)
M Telea
Narawa
AJ Lam
Raumaitavuki-Kneepkens
Sullivan

Tei Walden may be available for a midfield pick, provided he has recovered from his achilles tendon (?) injury. AJ Lam can cover centre, and possibly Clarke too. Would prefer to see Choat in the loose forwards.

38 players, looks like we had more last year due to cover for Clarke and Barrett, which included Marchant. Also had 8 loose forwards rather than 7, so maybe room for Choat yet.

Out:

Lindenmuth
Mafileo
Carroll
Lamborn
Tucker
Barrett
Marchent
Hyland
Duffie
Page

In:

N Mayhew
Laulala
Darry
Hunt
TBC (midfield)
AJ Lam
Raumaitavuki-Kneepkens
Sullivan

Auckland - 8 forwards, 8 backs, 16 total
North Harbour - 6 forwards, 1 back, 7 total
Northland - 2 forwards, 1 back, 3 total
Counties - 2
BOP - 3
Tasman - 3
Canterbury - 1
Taranaki - 2

Tim
Tim
November 30, 1:57am

Match XXIII

Big decision over fullback, maybe right wing, but that's about it. Expect plenty of rotation in the forwards

1 Hodgman
2 Eklund
3 Laulala
4 Tuipulotu
5 Pierce
6 A Ioane
7 Papalii
8 Sotutu

9 Nock (MacDonald may favour Christie though)
10 Black
11 Clarke
12 Faiane
13 R Ioane
14 M Telea
15 Sullivan (tight contest with Perofeta)

16 Parsons
17 Tu'inukuafe
18 Tu'ungafasi
19 Cowley-Tuioti/Goodhue
20 Robinson/Gibson/Hunt
21 Christie
22 Plummer
23 T Tele'a

With A Ioane showing he can attack a lineout at test level, there should be a lot of good options on either side of the lineout throw.

Interestingly/sadly, there's only three players in that 23 from the Auckland team that played in the NPC final, and only one in the starting 15.

Hooroo
Hooroo
November 30, 2:07am

@Tim said in Blues 2021:

Match XIII

Running into Super Rugby 2021 with confidence!!!!

Tim
Tim
November 30, 2:08am

@Hooroo Ha ha! Haven't had my after lunch coffee yet!

Tim
Tim
November 30, 2:18am

MacDonald will unveil a largely settled squad for 2021 this week, though they do have one major hole to fill, with star All Blacks playmaker Beauden Barrett absent on his Japanese sabbatical. Young Auckland fullback Zarn Sullivan is expected to fill the void at fullback, with some help from utility back Stephen Perofeta.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/rugby/super-rugby/300171272/super-rugby-blues-bring-back-their-coaching-group-for-another-crack-in-20201

Tim
Tim
November 30, 2:35am

Looking at that Blues squad, our forwards will be hard to beat. Should be able to dominate set piece and the ruck against many teams. The question is how well will the backs be able to use that ball? Black should be able to put the ball into the corners, and force full lineouts, but will we take the most of our chances, reduce errors, and make the right decisions in big games?

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
November 30, 3:00am

@Tim looking at the depth of the bench is impressive!

As you say, forwards are impressive, backs will be heavily reliant on the firepower of Rieko & Clarke, and after that things get a bit thinner.

nzzp
nzzp
November 30, 4:57am

@taniwharugby said in Blues 2021:

@Tim looking at the depth of the bench is impressive!

As you say, forwards are impressive, backs will be heavily reliant on the firepower of Rieko & Clarke, and after that things get a bit thinner.

really?

Telea, TJ Faiane - no shame in there. Perofeta was coming into his own at 15 ... they're not world beaters, but solid enough

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
November 30, 4:59am

@nzzp i just meant more reliant, didn't say they were shit or anything, plus an injury and it does get thin.

KiwiMurph
KiwiMurph
November 30, 5:44am

What's the go with James Little? Could he maybe pick up a midfield spot?

Tim
Tim
November 30, 5:55am

@KiwiMurph Maybe a bit small?

Antonio Mikaele-Tu'u might be on the fringe too?

Tim
Tim
November 30, 6:02am

Meihana Grindlay might be a midfield bolter?

NZ Schools 2019, NZ U20 training squad 2020.

Bovidae
Bovidae
November 30, 6:08am

@Tim said in Blues 2021:

Meihana Grindlay might be a midfield bolter?

NZ Schools 2019, NZ U20 training squad 2020.

He needs to prove himself at NPC level first. Grindlay can be a devastating runner but doesn't have much subtlety to his game.

Tim
Tim
November 30, 6:09am

@Bovidae Cheers. I've only seen him in schools rugby highlights.

Bovidae
Bovidae
November 30, 6:10am

@Tim I assume he played club rugby in Auckland this year?

Tim
Tim
November 30, 6:12am

@Bovidae Yeah, started a lot of games for College Rifles.

N

Nogusta
November 30, 11:31pm

@Tim Not 100% sure but I heard a whisper that Ruru has been released.

nzzp
nzzp
November 30, 11:36pm

@Nogusta said in Blues 2021:

@Tim Not 100% sure but I heard a whisper that Ruru has been released.

surely not! If so, well done on the good oil.

Tim
Tim
November 30, 11:59pm

@Nogusta Interesting. Wonder if his replacement would be Funaki or someone else?

gt12
gt12
December 1, 12:02am

@Tim said in Blues 2021:

@Nogusta Interesting. Wonder if his replacement would be Funaki or someone else?

Kid looks good.

Stargazer
Stargazer
December 1, 12:05am

If Ruru has been released ... it wouldn't surprise me at all if the Canes picked him up with TJP gone and Booth injured.

Yeetyaah
Yeetyaah
December 1, 12:17am

@Stargazer he'd be selected as a lock for the canes though eh?

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
December 1, 1:06am

wow, I thought he has been bloody good for Auckland this year too, probably his best season.

nzzp
nzzp
December 1, 1:15am

@taniwharugby said in Blues 2021:

wow, I thought he has been bloody good for Auckland this year too, probably his best season.

I agree, based on what I have seen. His performance against Northland was top notch (sorry @taniwharugby )

KiwiMurph
KiwiMurph
December 1, 1:16am

He was good for Auckland, however, it's been proven he's not Super Rugby starter quality and arguably not even Super Rugby bench quality.

He's 27 years old - I'd rather the Blues have someone they think they can develop as the 3rd halfback.

taniwharugby
taniwharugby
December 1, 1:20am

@KiwiMurph yeah there's that, maybe it's knowing there is pressure from Nock & Christie finally given him the arse kick he needed, OR, maybe he has requested a release knowing he may not get much time behind them?

Duluth
Duluth
December 1, 1:26am

I would guess it's about signing a younger halfback like Funaki

If they signed all 3 established halfbacks another franchise might've given Funaki a full contract. In the short term it could be a bit of a risk though

N

Nogusta
December 1, 1:32am

@taniwharugby said in Blues 2021:

wow, I thought he has been bloody good for Auckland this year too, probably his best season.

Agreed.
This was a 'whisper' I heard prior to the start of M10.

Dice
Dice
December 1, 6:22am

@Tim I think AJ Lam or Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens could possibly take that right wing spot off Mark Telea. Both had better M10 seasons than Telea.

Dice
Dice
December 1, 6:33am

@KiwiMurph The coaches basically gave up on him last season.

Sadly, his service is just not quick enough for Super Rugby.

Crazy Horse
Crazy Horse
December 1, 6:34am

I have yet to see AJ Lam do anything to make him stand out, good or bad. Have I missed something?

Dice
Dice
December 1, 6:38am

@Crazy-Horse He wasn't great in his last two games coming off injury, but before the injury, he was maybe the form winger in the M10.

Bones
Bones
December 1, 8:05am

@Crazy-Horse said in Blues 2021:

I have yet to see AJ Lam do anything to make him stand out, good or bad. Have I missed something?

Hah that's weird to see when I've missed the last couple of games and he was absolutely carving up prior to that. Wasn't he high up in both tries scored and assists?

Tim
Tim
December 1, 8:13am

Was there anything on the Breakdown of interest from Leon MacDonald?

Stargazer
Stargazer
December 1, 8:16am

@Tim Hasn't been on, yet.

Stargazer
Stargazer
December 1, 8:37am

@Tim It's more a group discussion about several subjects thus far.